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Oscar Nomination Predictions
Source: TheCinemaSource.com
Posted on: Tue, Jan 22, 2008 10:03:34

to be recognized. Ryan Gosling I'm actually skeptical about - very few people actually saw Lars and the Real Girl, and he already got his hot-young-actor nomination for a better performance - last year's Half Nelson.

But then again, I'm even more skeptical about Johnny Depp. Yes, he won the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Comedy/Musical, but that's actually a bit of a curse - with the exception of Joaquin Phoenix, I'm pretty sure the past five winners in that award have gone on not to get an Oscar nomination. James McAvoy hasn't garnered enough attention - and the Screen Actors Guild snubbed Atonement altogether - but you can never really count out Denzel Washington.

BEST ACTRESS:
Julie Christie, Away from Her
Amy Adams, Enchanted
Ellen Page, Juno
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose

Other contenders: Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age; Keira Knightley, Atonement; Laura Linney, The Savages

Christie, Cotillard, and Page feel good. Jolie is also well-liked in Hollywood - oh, and she gave a great performance - and looks to get nominated despite her film tanking. That leaves the fifth slot; due to the box office success of Enchanted and the Academy's penchant for young women, I'm putting Amy Adams in there. Elizabeth: The Golden Age was badly received (although Blanchett has plenty of fans in the Academy), Keira Knightley doesn't have the buzz, and Laura Linney...well, she could be a surprise if there's a large enough minority that's a big proponent of her work.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson’s War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men

Other contenders: Tommy Lee Jones, No Country for Old Men; Paul Dano, There Will Be Blood

I could definitely see Tommy Lee Jones showing up in this category in favor of Holbrook or Hoffman. Otherwise, things
 


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