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Oscar Spiel #4: National Board of Review winners and revised Best Picture predictions
Source: National Board of Review, TheCinemaSource.com
Posted on: Thu, Dec 06, 2007 20:38:16

color="blue">No Country for Old Men are looking like the films to beat in the screenplay categories – they just seem like perfect fits for those awards, if not necessarily Best Picture.

And then there’s Michael Clayton. Apparently I’ve been underestimating this film, as I’ve resolutely assumed so far that it wasn’t Oscar’s style. Sure it’s a good movie, and I wholeheartedly admired the skill and professionalism of it, but ultimately it’s a fairly generic thriller about men wearing business suits. Perhaps I didn’t understand the appeal because I don’t wear a business suit to work?

As for their top ten, it’s nice to see Into the Wild included. (Emile Hirsch also scored a “breakthrough male performance” award, next to Ellen Page.) And I’m rather pumped to see that people are still remembering how awesome The Bourne Ultimatum was, although I doubt that will amount to anything. But...The Bucket List? What’s up with that? That’s a Golden Globes nominee, that’s what that is. It exists to round out the “Best Picture – Comedy or Musical” category. It’s not an Oscar contender and it’s curious that the NBR would recognize it over a few movies they missed...

There Will Be Blood, Charlie Wilson’s War, American Gangster, and Eastern Promises, to name the big ones. Not to mention smaller films or less buzz -worthy films like I’m Not There, The Great Debaters, or Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead.

Right now Charlie Wilson’s War is out of favor, but if the box office explodes like I think it will, people might come around again. There Will Be Blood is a tough sell: dark, depressing, weird, but almost undoubtedly brilliant. American Gangster peaked early and will have to climb the mountain again. Eastern Promises had disappointing box office and seems like too much of a niche movie at this point.

So, if we’re heavily influenced by
 


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