Source:
TheCinemaSource.com
Posted on: Wed, Jan 23, 2008 12:01:39
Penn for Director. Best Picture and Adapted Screenplay were also more distant possibilities, but there was no love in those categories, either.
Lars and the Real Girl managed to get its Original Screenplay nomination, but Ryan Gosling was left out of the Best Actor race. Surf's Up most likely took the place of The Simpsons Movie in the Animated Feature category. Angelina Jolie didn't make Actress for A Mighty Heart, while Zodiac, unfortunately, was shut out of the Oscar race completely.
My Predictions:
I actually did fairly well this year, getting 80% correct - averaging out to 4 out of 5 in each of the top eight categories. I correctly predicted Best Picture, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Original Screenplay, but only went 3 for 5 in Best Actor (I had Hirsch and Gosling instead of Depp and Jones), Director (Sidney Lumet and Sean Penn instead of Jason Reitman and Tony Gilroy), and Actress (Jolie and Amy Adams instead of Blanchett and Linney).
So who's going to win?
Well, No Country for Old Men and There Will Be Blood both have 8 nominations apiece, the most out of anyone. More pointedly, they're the only Best Picture nominees to get Film Editing nominations - and there is a long history of Editing and Picture matching up. Atonement has seven nominations but is missing the all-important Director nomination, meaning it's probably out of the running for Best Picture. Juno, the biggest box office success of all five nominees, could turn out to be the little movie that could, but when faced between a quirky indie about a pregnant teen or a male-driven Western, the middle-aged-male-ridden Academy will probably go with the latter.
Right now it's a horse race between No Country and Blood. That is, until they split the vote and Michael Clayton emerges, victorious. |
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